Category Archives: ASEAN

Rohingya Refugees: A Security Threat To India; By J.K Verma

CAS article no. 0045/2017 Courtesy: Aviation and Defence Universe Ethnic cleansing hits headlines in the western world media but little realisation is that mass migration of the  result of this in the neighbouring nations through porous borders triggers a crisis which might reflect in more than one serious forms. The global media currently has a news peg and Myanmar’s Rohingya Muslims exodus just refuses to become a number two headline…. Read Article →

South China Sea: From Turbidity to Semblance of Tranquility; By Cmde. R. S. Vasan

CAS article no. 0158/2016 Courtesy: National Maritime Foundation The unfolding events in the South China Sea (SCS) in the last one decade plus has been tumultuous to say the least. The year Code of Conduct (CoC).[1]was signed in Cambodia (2002) can be taken as the bench mark year when the members of the ASEAN and China agreed on prescribed methods for preventing escalation of conflict over territory and resources. It… Read Article →

Malaysia: Prime Minister Najib Visits China; By Carlyle A. Thayer

CAS article no. 0155/2016 Courtesy: Carlyle A. Thayer, “Malaysia: Prime Minister Najib Visits China,” Thayer Consultancy Background Brief, November 1, 2016. We request your assessment on Malaysia PM Najib Razak’s visit to China this week, based on the issues raised below. Q1- There are reports that Malaysia will be buying up to ten littoral mission ships from China in the first defence deal between both sides. Among the ten deals… Read Article →

Managing Security Tensions in the South China Sea: The Role of ASEAN; By Carlyle A. Thayer

CAS article no. 0133/2016 Courtesy: David Brewster ed., Indo-Pacific Maritime Security: Challenges and Cooperation (Canberra: National Security College, Crawford School of Public Policy, ANU College of the Asia & the Pacific, The Australian National University, July 2016), 25-30. This paper reviews current diplomatic and political efforts to manage security tensions in the South China Sea with a focus on interactions between the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), China and the… Read Article →

South China Sea Verdict: Will Fuming China Sober Down? ; By B. S. Raghavan

CAS article no. 0124/2016 Courtesy: Chennai Centre for China Studies The People’s Republic of China has suffered a painful, though expected, reverse in terms of the stinging rebuke of an award given by the Permanent Court of Arbitration (PCA) at The Hague, on July 12,2016, at the end of a three-year long proceedings initiated by the Republic of Philippines disputing China’s claims over some of the sea areas and features,… Read Article →

Revealed: The Truth Behind ASEAN’s Retracted Kunming Statement; By Carlyle A. Thayer

CAS article no. 0098/2016 Courtesy: The Diplomat On Thursday, June 16 the official Vietnam News Agency released the complete text of the “press statement” drawn up by ASEAN foreign ministers at their special meeting with China’s foreign minister Wang Yi on June 14. The text of this press statement confirms that “the ASEAN member states consented to the content of the Press Statement of their Foreign Ministers.” The Straits Times… Read Article →

ASEAN Secretariat Rescinds China-ASEAN Joint Statement; By Carlyle A. Thayer

CAS article no. 0094/2016 Courtesy: Thayer Consultancy Background Brief, June 15 2016.  The ‘special’ meeting of ASEAN and China foreign ministers in Yunnan yesterday (June 14th) appeared to be a real ‘special’ one, with a statement of ‘serious concerns’ over South China Sea developments by ASEAN’s foreign ministers retracted just some hours after its release. Q1. How do you explain this confusion? ANSWER: The ASEAN Secretariat issuyed the joint statement by… Read Article →

The Unfolding Dimensions of Recent Developments in South China Sea; By Commodore R. S. Vasan IN (Retd.)

CAS article no. 0072/2016 Courtesy: Chennai Centre for China Studies The initial reaction of the USA to review its invitation to China to participate in the forthcoming  Rim of the Pacific Exercise (RIMPAC), conducted biennially, could be seen as a response to the turning away of the request to dock an aircraft carrier in Hong Kong earlier this month. However, USA has invited China to join in the forthcoming edition claimed… Read Article →

South China Sea: United States Stiffens its Stances on China’s Conflict Escalation; By Dr. Subhash Kapila

CAS article no. 0069/2016 Courtesy: South Asia Analysis Group  China seems to be woefully oblivious to major lessons of United States belated entry in two Global wars of 20th Century to ensure global security, as it pursues incessant conflict escalation in the South China Sea. The major lessons of United States belated military interventions against Germany’s aggression and conflict escalation preceding World War I and World War II were that… Read Article →

After Natuna Incident, South China Sea Tensions Likely to Get Worse Before They Get Better; By Carlyle A. Thayer

CAS article no. 0046/2016 Courtesy: The Diplomat  Indonesia is set to follow a passive and dependent policy in the region. A recent high-level visitor to China told The Diplomat that he detected a new sense of urgency in Beijing to complete its consolidation of control over the South China Sea before the United Nations Arbitral Tribunal hands down its decision on the claims made by the Philippines against China. At the… Read Article →