Monthly Archives: November 2015

Book Review: To Market, To Market; By K. Subramanian

CAS article no:  0041/2015 Courtesy: The Hindu The Making of Miracles in Indian States; ed Arvind Panagariya & M. Govinda Rao, OUP, Rs.595. At a time when even the World Bank is advocating inclusive growth, this book oddly extols the market in its analysis of three Indian states.  In 1993, the World Bank brought out a report titled The East Asian Miracle,which excited global opinion. Very soon, economists faulted the… Read Article →

Code of Conduct in the South China Sea and Beyond; Carlyle A. Thayer

CAS article no:  0040/2015 Presentation to The 7th South China Sea International Conference Cooperation for Regional Security and Development The Imperial Hotel, Vung Tau, Vietnam  Introduction A Code of Conduct in the South China Sea (COC) was first mentioned when the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) and China adopted the Declaration on Conduct of Parties in the South China Sea (DOC) on November 4, 2002. Point 10, the last point in the… Read Article →

A Rare Show Of Unity?; By Dr. Sridhar Krishnaswami

CAS article no:  0039/2015 The rare show of unity at the United Nations Security Council in the passage of Resolution 2249 only underscores the gravity of the threat to the international system, not from mis-guided non state actors but determined terrorists and thugs bent on upsetting the world order, peace and security. Correctly so the 15 member Security Council has identified the ISIS or ISIL as source of “unprecedented threat”… Read Article →

Has Dawood outlived his utility for Pakistan?; By Jai Kumar Verma

 CAS article no:  0038/2015 Courtesy: South Asia Monitor Prime Minister Narendra Modi in his election rallies in 2014 promised to get back underworld don Dawood Ibrahim Kaskar dead or alive. The appointment of Ajit Doval as National Security Advisor, a former chief of the Intelligence Bureau who remained posted in Pakistan undercover and always adopts a stern posture against Pakistan, strengthened the belief that the Modi government may succeed in… Read Article →

Bickering at UN suggests break in traditional India-Nepal ties; By Shastri Ramachandaran

 CAS article no:  0037/2015  Courtesy: Global Times Relations between India and Nepal have never been as bad as they are today.  Differences and disagreements between land-locked Nepal and its giant neighbor are not new. The airing of these publicly is also an old story, as are Indian and Nepalese politicians taking swipes at each other. What is new in the ongoing build-up of India-Nepal tensions that have spilled over far beyond… Read Article →

Strategic Significance of China- Taiwan Summit; By D. S. Rajan

 CAS article no:  0036/2015 There is no doubt that the summit meeting held between the leader of mainland China, Xi Jinping and his Taiwanese counterpart Ma Ying-jeou (Singapore, November 7, 2015) has been  historic; it  marked first such occasion  in 66 years since the end in 1949 of the civil war in China. How the meeting came about? According to Ma (http://www.wsj.com/articles/taiwan-china-meeting-a-push-for-peace-ma-ying-jeou-says-1446706169),   the seeds for the meeting were sown after… Read Article →

China switches over to ‘Hum Do, Humare Do’; By Shastri Ramachandaran

 CAS article no:  0035/2015 Courtesy: dnaIndia China’s announcement of October 29 to end its one-child policy, which was enforced with a heavy hand for over 30 years, has been widely welcomed although questions are being asked about what an “active two-child policy may mean”. For the present, the emphasis is on the positives, and the momentous decision is being debated for its economic consequences, demographic results and political significance. This… Read Article →

South China Sea: U.S. Commences Freedom of Navigation Patrol; By Carlyle A. Thayer

 CAS article no:  0034/2015 Patrol-1 :  QUESTION: As you know, the U.S. Navy sent a guided-missile destroyer within 12 nautical miles of artificial islands (Subi and Mischief reefs) in the Spratly archipelago this morning. The move is said to be in a challenge by the US to China’s territorial claims in the South China Sea. We request your assessment of this development and what you think the likely reactions will… Read Article →

Vietnam: Scene Setter for Xi Jinping Visit – 1; By Carlyle A. Thayer

 CAS article no:  0033/2015  Q1 – What is the purpose of Xi Jinping’s visit to Vietnam this time? ANSWER: Xi Jinping wears two hats, he is China’s state President and General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party. Xi will come to Vietnam in both capacities. In strict protocol terms Xi’s visit is a reciprocal one following the visit of Secretary General Nguyen Phu Trong to Beijing earlier this year. Xi… Read Article →

Vietnam: Scene Setter for Visits by Xi Jinping & Obama; By Carlyle A. Thayer

 CAS article no:  0032/2015 Q1. President and General Secretary Xi Jinping is scheduled to visit Vietnam next month. What is the main reason for the timing of this visit, does it have anything to do with Vietnam’s preparations for the 12th National Congress of the Vietnam Communist Party? What will be the main points on Xi’s agenda in his discussions with Vietnam’s leaders? ANSWER: President Xi Jinping’s visit to Vietnam… Read Article →