Monthly Archives: November 2016

US To Withdraw From TPP; By Carlyle A. Thayer

CAS article no. 0164/2016 Courtesy: Carlyle A. Thayer, “US To Withdraw From TPP,” Thayer Consultancy Background Brief, November 22,2016 Q1. Could you please share some thoughts when Donald Trump announced that the US will withdraw from TPP? Donald Trump’s release of a video announcing his priorities for his first 100 days in office came as a surprise. His first priority was to announced that the US would withdraw from the TPP. He made that pledge during his campaign…. Read Article →

Xi in LatAm: China Expands Footprints in the Region; By Shastri Ramachandaran

CAS article no. 0163/2016 Courtesy: Chinese President Xi Jinping’s ongoing visit to Latin America – from November 17 to 23 – comes at an opportune juncture, with the U.S. and other powers caught in domestic situations and global uncertainties that preclude their proactive engagement abroad. And President Xi, who is on course for state visits to Ecuador, Peru and Chile, can be expected to make the most of extending… Read Article →

Are India and China Drifting Apart?; By Bhaskar Roy

CAS article no. 0162/2016 Courtesy: South Asia Analysis Group  Indian and Chinese National Security Advisors (NSAs) Ajit Doval and State Councillor Yang Jiechi are scheduled to meet in Hyderabad, India in the first week of November to review bilateral relations and regional developments.  Hugging and selfie diplomacy is over.  It is back to the brass tacks.  Core interests are to the fore. Doval and his delegation would certainly carry in… Read Article →

The Pitiable Condition of Minorities in Bangladesh; By Jai Kumar Verma

CAS article no. 0161/2016 Courtesy: South Asia Monitor  On October 30, thousands of hardcore Muslims of Hefajat-e-Islam and Ahle Sunnat Wal Jamaat took out processions in Nasirnagar and other places and demanded capital punishment for Hindu fisherman Rasraj, who allegedly posted on the social media a photograph of Lord Shiva inside the Masjid al Haram in Mecca. These Islamic extremists damaged 17 temples, broke the idols inside and looted several… Read Article →

Surgical Strike on Corruption, Terrorism and FICN; By Jai Kumar Verma

CAS article no. 0160/2016 Courtesy: India Strategic  Prime Minister Narendra Modi has done another surgical strike on November 8 when he announced that currency notes of Rs.1000 and 500 would not be a legal tender from midnight. The demonetisation of the high value currency notes would be a gargantuan assault on corruption, terrorism, fake currency and hawala transactions. Mr Modi elaborated that these high denomination notes can be exchanged in… Read Article →

Vietnam’s Foreign Policy in an Era of Rising Sino-U.S. Competition: Providing Equity to the Major Powers While Pursuing Proactive International Integration; By Carlyle A. Thayer

CAS article no. 0159/2016 The following is text of the author’s Presentation to a Conference on Great Power Rivalries, Domestic Politics, and Southeast Asian Foreign Policy at The Dorothy Borg Research Project, Weatherhead East Asia Institute, Kellog Conference Center, International Affairs Building, Columbia University, New York on  November 10-11, 2016.  Introduction Vietnam is a semi-authoritarian one-party state ruled by the Vietnam Communist Party (VCP). Vietnam’s political system parallels that of… Read Article →

South China Sea: From Turbidity to Semblance of Tranquility; By Cmde. R. S. Vasan

CAS article no. 0158/2016 Courtesy: National Maritime Foundation The unfolding events in the South China Sea (SCS) in the last one decade plus has been tumultuous to say the least. The year Code of Conduct (CoC).[1]was signed in Cambodia (2002) can be taken as the bench mark year when the members of the ASEAN and China agreed on prescribed methods for preventing escalation of conflict over territory and resources. It… Read Article →

Once again espionage is in news from Pakistan’s Delhi territory; By JK Verma

CAS article no. 0157/2016 Courtesy: Aviation & Defence Universe  Military controlled Inter Services Intelligence (ISI) which has been waging a low-intensity war against India, is not only pumping terrorists and suicide bombers but continuously raising and running agents in the country. The powerful ISI posts its officers and staff in the High Commission of Pakistan in New Delhi especially in Consular Section and when Indian nationals approach for Visa they… Read Article →

Malaysia: Is Najib Following in Duterte’s Footsteps?; By Carlyle A. Thayer

CAS article no. 0156/2016 Courtesy: Carlyle A. Thayer, “Malaysia: Is Najib Following in Duterte’s Footsteps?,” Thayer Consultancy Background Brief, November 1, 2016. Malaysia’s Prime Minister Najib Razak’s visit to China is pretty interesting. It looks like Malaysia is getting ready to buy various military assets from Beijing and has already awarded some infrastructure projects to the Chinese. And, of course, this follows Philippine President Duterte’s own rebalancing toward a more… Read Article →

Malaysia: Prime Minister Najib Visits China; By Carlyle A. Thayer

CAS article no. 0155/2016 Courtesy: Carlyle A. Thayer, “Malaysia: Prime Minister Najib Visits China,” Thayer Consultancy Background Brief, November 1, 2016. We request your assessment on Malaysia PM Najib Razak’s visit to China this week, based on the issues raised below. Q1- There are reports that Malaysia will be buying up to ten littoral mission ships from China in the first defence deal between both sides. Among the ten deals… Read Article →